—
Welcome — README
FileEditFontSizeStyleSimpleText

Felipe Guarin

ARTIST & AI LEADER · AI LEAD AT PLATZI · ATLANTA


My installation Apperception turns a visitor's live brain activity into images in real time; it was shown at LOOP Atlanta during the Atlanta Film Festival's 50th-anniversary SOUND + VISION. An optimistic builder fueled by curiosity and impact, I'm AI Lead at Platzi, building generative AI products that change how people learn. Before that, AI Lead at Adtechnacity — where our products drove an 89% RPM increase and $10M+ in incremental revenue. 500+ AI projects shipped, an esports platform built in Japan, an award-winning creative agency, and an MIT Hackathon win.

If you're building AI products that change how people work and learn — let's talk.

— double-click any icon on the desktop to open a program —

AI & Thinking — SimpleText
FileEditFontSizeSimpleText · 13 entries
Article

The Intelligence Crisis No One's Talking About: Global IQ Trends

by Felipe Guarín · Feb 17, 2026


So, I started with a movie night. I was watching "Idiocracy," the satirical flick where humanity's intelligence nosedives over centuries. That got me wondering: is our global average IQ really shifting over time? I did some digging into the past 50 years of IQ trends and, well, there's a subtle but real story there.

Over the last two decades, the world's average IQ has seen some interesting shifts, though it depends on where you're looking. We're not diving into a full-on "Idiocracy" scenario, but the rapid IQ gains of the 20th century (known as the Flynn effect)[1][2] have definitely cooled off. While IQ tests are normed to a score of 100 for a reference population, the true global average (when weighted by population) is actually lower, sitting at approximately 89[3]. The trends behind that number tell a more complex story: some regions rising, others plateauing or falling.

Naturally, I got curious about which countries are leading the IQ charts. Currently, Japan leads the way with an average of 106.48, followed closely by Taiwan at 106.47 and Singapore at 105.89[4][5]. China comes in around 104-107, depending on the source, and South Korea averages about 102.35. The United States is sitting around 29th-30th place with an average between 97 and 98, and Colombia ranges from about 89 to 96, depending on the testing methodology.

It's easy to treat IQ like a trivia stat, just another number. But when you dig into the research, it becomes clear that this one metric tracks surprisingly closely with a whole host of real-world outcomes. IQ is the best way to predict how well someone will do in school. Studies show that IQ explains about 35% of the differences in school grades, with scores usually ranging between 0.54 and 0.81[6].

But the impact doesn't stop at school or the office. Health outcomes also show a clear link: a 15-point IQ advantage is associated with a 21% greater chance of surviving to age 76. Each additional IQ point corresponds with about a 1% drop in mortality risk[7][8] Kids in the top 10% of the intelligence distribution are 50–67% less likely to die from major causes like heart disease, cancer, or injury compared to those in the bottom 10%.

IQ is related to crime and public safety. Studies show that, on average, people in prison have an IQ of about 92[9]. Additionally, research finds that for every significant decrease in IQ, the likelihood of being involved in violent crime increases by 51%[10].

That said, a person's IQ—whether low or high—does not determine their future. These findings reveal trends, not absolutes. Other important factors, such as a person's environment, available opportunities, and personal choices, also significantly influence life outcomes. Still, the connection between IQ and crime is strong enough to merit attention.

So, what would it take to actually move that global IQ needle upward? The biggest impact likely comes from large-scale initiatives in early childhood development. If the world invested heavily in early education, good nutrition, and safe environments for kids, we'd likely see a long-term rise in cognitive outcomes. The research backs this up (even though the exact numbers are debatable): quality preschool can boost IQ by 4-7 points[11], and each additional year of education adds roughly 1-5 IQ points over a lifetime[12][13][14]

And if you're wondering what you can do on a smaller scale, in your own home, it's all about those little daily steps. Read to your toddlers, give them lots of chances to play and explore, and make sure they have a balanced diet. According to research, those small things can make a big difference in their cognitive development and set them up for success.

Here's the thing that keeps me up at night: we actually know how to fix this. The research is clear, the solutions are proven, and honestly, they're not even that complicated. Quality early education, proper nutrition, safe environments for kids...these aren't revolutionary ideas. Countries that prioritize these investments see real results.

But knowing what to do and actually doing it are two very different things. Until we decide that our children's cognitive development is worth the political capital and budget allocation, we'll keep watching that global IQ needle stay flat or drift downward in many developed nations. The blueprint is sitting right there on the table. Someone just needs to pick it up.

Sources

  1. Flynn, J. R. (2009). What Is Intelligence?: Beyond the Flynn Effect. Cambridge University Press.
  2. Trahan, L. H., et al. (2014). The Flynn effect: A meta-analysis. Psychological Bulletin, 140(5), 1332-1360. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0037173
  3. Lynn, R., & Vanhanen, T. (2012). Intelligence: A Unifying Construct for the Social Sciences. Ulster Institute for Social Research.
  4. International IQ Test. (2025). Average IQ by Country 2025 (Official Ranking & Map). https://international-iq-test.com
  5. DataPandas. (2025). Average IQ by Country 2025. https://www.datapandas.org/ranking/average-iq-by-country
  6. Roth, B., et al. (2015). Intelligence and school grades: A meta-analysis. Intelligence, 53, 118-137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2015.09.002
  7. Calvin, C. M., et al. (2017). Childhood intelligence in relation to major causes of death in 68 year follow-up. BMJ, 357:j2708. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.j2708
  8. Gottfredson, L. S. (2004). Intelligence: Is it the epidemiologists' elusive "fundamental cause" of social class inequalities in health? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 86(1), 174-199. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.86.1.174
  9. Farrington, D. P., & Welsh, B. C. (2007). Saving Children from a Life of Crime: Early Risk Factors and Effective Interventions. Oxford University Press.
  10. Hemmingsson, T., et al. (2011). Intelligence in early adulthood and subsequent risk of assault. Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, 46(6), 455-463. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-010-0214-x
  11. Protzko, J., Aronson, J., & Blair, C. (2013). How to make a young child smarter: Evidence from the database of raising intelligence. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 8(1), 25-40. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691612462585
  12. Ritchie, S. J., & Tucker-Drob, E. M. (2018). How much does education improve intelligence? A meta-analysis. Psychological Science, 29(8), 1358-1369. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797618774253
  13. Barnett, W. S. (1995). Long-term effects of early childhood programs on cognitive and school outcomes. The Future of Children, 5(3), 25-50. https://doi.org/10.2307/1602366
  14. Brinch, C. N., & Galloway, T. A. (2012). Schooling in adolescence raises IQ scores. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(2), 425-430. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1106077109
Originally on LinkedIn
Open: